{"id":57621,"date":"2024-06-21T06:57:22","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T04:57:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.immobilienbusiness.ch\/?p=57621"},"modified":"2024-08-20T14:12:17","modified_gmt":"2024-08-20T12:12:17","slug":"snb-senkt-die-zinsen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.immobilienbusiness.ch\/fr\/allgemein\/2024-06-21\/snb-senkt-die-zinsen\/","title":{"rendered":"La BNS baisse les taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"SNB<\/a>
Le secteur immobilier se r\u00e9jouira de la r\u00e9cente d\u00e9cision de la BNS (Photo : Banque nationale suisse)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

La Banque nationale a continu\u00e9 hier \u00e0 assouplir sa politique mon\u00e9taire. Le taux directeur de la BNS baisse de 0,25 \u00e0 1,25%. Ce changement de taux est effectif depuis aujourd'hui. La BNS a justifi\u00e9 cette mesure par la baisse des pressions inflationnistes. Depuis le dernier examen de la situation \u00e9conomique et mon\u00e9taire, l'inflation a toutefois l\u00e9g\u00e8rement augment\u00e9 et s'\u00e9levait \u00e0 1,4% en mai. Ce sont surtout les services dans le domaine du tourisme et des produits p\u00e9troliers qui ont contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 cette hausse. \"Dans l'ensemble, l'inflation actuelle en Suisse est surtout d\u00e9termin\u00e9e par le rench\u00e9rissement des services domestiques\", \u00e9crit la Banque nationale. Compte tenu de la baisse des taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat intervenue aujourd'hui, la nouvelle pr\u00e9vision d'inflation conditionnelle est similaire \u00e0 celle de mars et, \u00e0 plus long terme, elle est l\u00e9g\u00e8rement inf\u00e9rieure \u00e0 l'ancienne pr\u00e9vision.<\/p>\n

En moyenne annuelle, l'inflation pr\u00e9vue est de 1,3% pour 2024, 1,1% pour 2025 et 1,0% pour 2026. La pr\u00e9vision repose sur l'hypoth\u00e8se que le taux directeur de la BNS s'\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 1,25% sur l'ensemble de la p\u00e9riode de pr\u00e9vision. Sans la baisse du taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat d\u00e9cid\u00e9e aujourd'hui, la pr\u00e9vision serait bien s\u00fbr inf\u00e9rieure.<\/p>\n

L'\u00e9conomie devrait cro\u00eetre de 1,5% l'ann\u00e9e prochaine<\/h3>\n

Selon les pr\u00e9visions de la BNS, la croissance \u00e9conomique en Suisse restera mod\u00e9r\u00e9e au cours des prochains trimestres. On s'attend \u00e0 une croissance du PIB d'environ 1% pour cette ann\u00e9e. Le ch\u00f4mage continuera donc d'augmenter l\u00e9g\u00e8rement et l'utilisation des capacit\u00e9s de production diminuera l\u00e9g\u00e8rement. A moyen terme, l'\u00e9volution \u00e9conomique devrait s'am\u00e9liorer progressivement gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 une demande \u00e9trang\u00e8re un peu plus forte. Pour l'ann\u00e9e 2025, la BNS pr\u00e9voit une croissance d'environ 1,5%.<\/p>\n

\"Vuln\u00e9rabilit\u00e9 sur le march\u00e9 immobilier\"<\/h3>\n

Le principal risque pour ces pr\u00e9visions est l'\u00e9volution \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger. Sur les march\u00e9s hypoth\u00e9caire et immobilier, la dynamique a \u00e9t\u00e9 plus faible au cours des derniers trimestres que les ann\u00e9es pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes. \"Les vuln\u00e9rabilit\u00e9s sur ces march\u00e9s persistent toutefois\", \u00e9crit la BNS.<\/p>\n

\"Toutes les bonnes choses vont par trois\"<\/h3>\n

Les analystes d'UBS partent du principe que ce n'est pas la derni\u00e8re baisse des taux. \"Toutes les bonnes choses vont par trois\", \u00e9crit la grande banque dans un communiqu\u00e9. \"Apr\u00e8s les deux r\u00e9centes baisses des taux directeurs, nous nous attendons \u00e0 une derni\u00e8re \u00e9tape\". La BNS vise le taux neutre, c'est-\u00e0-dire le taux qui n'a d'effet ni stimulant ni restrictif. (aw)<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le secteur immobilier peut se r\u00e9jouir d'une nouvelle baisse des taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat. La Banque nationale continue toutefois de voir une certaine vuln\u00e9rabilit\u00e9 du march\u00e9 immobilier.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":46598,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"SNB Zinssenkung August 2024","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Die SNB senkt den Leitzins um 0,25% auf 1,25% aufgrund gesunkenen Inflationsdrucks. Prognostizierte Inflation f\u00fcr 2024 liegt bei 1,3%.","_yoast_wpseo_linkdex":59,"pgc_sgb_lightbox_settings":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1222,3669],"class_list":["post-57621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-allgemein","tag-finanzierung","tag-snb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nSNB senkt die Zinsen - IMMOBILIEN Business<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Die SNB senkt den Leitzins um 0,25% auf 1,25% aufgrund gesunkenen Inflationsdrucks. 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