{"id":56900,"date":"2024-05-08T10:20:31","date_gmt":"2024-05-08T08:20:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.immobilienbusiness.ch\/?p=56900"},"modified":"2024-11-11T12:58:55","modified_gmt":"2024-11-11T11:58:55","slug":"immobilien-als-wichtiger-portfolio-stabilisator","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.immobilienbusiness.ch\/fr\/publireportage\/2024-05-08\/immobilien-als-wichtiger-portfolio-stabilisator\/","title":{"rendered":"L'immobilier, un important stabilisateur de portefeuille"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Schweizer<\/a><\/p>\n

En f\u00e9vrier 2024, l'inflation se situait \u00e0 nouveau dans le corridor cible de la BNS, \u00e0 1,2%, et \u00e9tait aussi basse qu'en octobre 2021 pour la derni\u00e8re fois. Un franc suisse fort et la baisse des prix des biens de consommation r\u00e9duisent l'inflation. Bien que la stabilit\u00e9 des prix soit d\u00e9sormais assur\u00e9e selon les crit\u00e8res de la BNS, la situation de la politique mon\u00e9taire doit continuer \u00e0 \u00eatre surveill\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

Les fondations de placement bravent un environnement de march\u00e9 difficile<\/h3>\n

La hausse de l'inflation depuis 2022 a conduit \u00e0 la premi\u00e8re hausse des taux directeurs en Suisse depuis 2007. La sensibilit\u00e9 aux taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat des fonds immobiliers suisses et les valorisations \u00e9lev\u00e9es ont entra\u00een\u00e9 une forte correction en 2022. La performance globale des fonds immobiliers cot\u00e9s, mesur\u00e9e par le SXI Real Estate Funds Broad Total Return, a chut\u00e9 de 15 % en 2022. En 2023, le march\u00e9 immobilier indirect a \u00e9volu\u00e9 lat\u00e9ralement. Mais cette p\u00e9riode de turbulences semble d\u00e9sormais termin\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

Evolution du march\u00e9 immobilier suisse - index\u00e9 depuis le 31 d\u00e9cembre 2007<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source : SXI Swiss Real Estate, CAFP, 31 d\u00e9cembre 2007-29 f\u00e9vrier 2024. Pr\u00e9sentation de Zurich Invest SA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

En raison de fortes corrections des actions et des obligations, les ratios immobiliers des portefeuilles ont parfois d\u00e9pass\u00e9 les plafonds strat\u00e9giques ou r\u00e9glementaires. Certains investisseurs ont d\u00fb r\u00e9duire leur exposition aux titres immobiliers liquides, ce qui a accentu\u00e9 la chute en 2022. Le sentiment des investisseurs et les turbulences du march\u00e9 ont consid\u00e9rablement r\u00e9duit les flux de capitaux dans les v\u00e9hicules de placement.<\/p>\n

Contrairement aux fonds immobiliers cot\u00e9s, l'immobilier non cot\u00e9 s'est montr\u00e9 plus robuste, comme le montre l'indice Immo de la CAFP. Les fondations de placement immobilier n'ont pas r\u00e9agi aussi directement que les placements immobiliers cot\u00e9s au changement de cap des taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat.<\/p>\n

Augmentation de l'allocation immobili\u00e8re<\/h3>\n

Dans les portefeuilles des institutions de pr\u00e9voyance suisses, la part de l'immobilier dans la fortune totale des caisses de pension n'a cess\u00e9 d'augmenter entre 2007 et 2022, passant d'environ 15 % \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 24 %, selon l'Office f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de la statistique.<\/p>\n

Placements de la fortune des caisses de pension suisses en milliards de CHF<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source : Office f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de la statistique (OFS) - Statistique des caisses de pension 2022. Pr\u00e9sentation de Zurich Invest SA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Alors que durant cette p\u00e9riode, la part des actions a \u00e9galement l\u00e9g\u00e8rement augment\u00e9, passant d'environ 28 \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 29 pour cent, la part des obligations a fortement baiss\u00e9, passant de plus de 37 \u00e0 27 pour cent, notamment en raison des taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat n\u00e9gatifs.
\nL'immobilier contribue donc largement \u00e0 la protection du patrimoine et \u00e0 la performance des institutions de pr\u00e9voyance.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00e9sence de facteurs contradictoires<\/h3>\n

Actuellement, la valeur de l'immobilier suisse est d\u00e9termin\u00e9e par des facteurs contradictoires. Bien que l'immigration en provenance de l'\u00e9tranger soutienne la demande locative dans les zones urbaines centrales, l'offre n'augmente pas. L'activit\u00e9 de construction diminue m\u00eame.<\/p>\n

Taux de logements vacants, variation de la population r\u00e9sidente et nouveaux logements construits en Suisse<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>
Source : Office f\u00e9d\u00e9ral de la statistique. Recensement des logements vacants, \u00e9tat de la base de donn\u00e9es : 11 septembre 2023. BEVNAT, ESPOP, STATPOP. Statistique de la construction et des logements. Repr\u00e9sentation de Zurich Invest SA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

La diminution de l'activit\u00e9 de construction, qui se traduit par une baisse des permis de construire, entra\u00eene une hausse potentielle des loyers et des revenus pour les propri\u00e9taires. Alors qu'en 2023, les prix de l'immobilier \u00e9taient sous pression en raison des taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat et des co\u00fbts de financement \u00e9lev\u00e9s, une d\u00e9tente se dessine en 2024. Les rendements des obligations de la Conf\u00e9d\u00e9ration \u00e0 10 ans sont pass\u00e9s de 1,1 % \u00e0 la mi-mars 2023 \u00e0 0,7 % \u00e0 la mi-mars 2024. M\u00eame si les march\u00e9s s'attendent \u00e0 une baisse de l'inflation et des taux directeurs, la probabilit\u00e9 et la rapidit\u00e9 d'un assouplissement de la politique mon\u00e9taire pourraient \u00eatre surestim\u00e9es, de sorte que pour le moment, seules deux baisses de taux sont attendues en 2024, m\u00eame si le risque s'est d\u00e9plac\u00e9 vers un cycle de baisse des taux plus anticip\u00e9 par la BNS.<\/p>\n

Plus d'infos<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ces deux derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, les investisseurs immobiliers ont \u00e9t\u00e9 confront\u00e9s \u00e0 de fortes influences telles que l'\u00e9volution de l'inflation et le retournement des taux d'int\u00e9r\u00eat. L'immobilier est-il pour autant une classe d'actifs stable ?<\/p>","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":56904,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Schweizer Immobilienmarkt 2024","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Die Inflation in der Schweiz lag im Februar 2024 bei 1,2%. Starker Franken und sinkende Preise reduzieren die Inflation.","_yoast_wpseo_linkdex":63,"pgc_sgb_lightbox_settings":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1931],"tags":[3950,1344,2027,3874,3951],"class_list":["post-56900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-publireportage","tag-anlagestiftungen","tag-immobilienfonds","tag-inflation","tag-schweizer-immobilienmarkt","tag-zinswende"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nImmobilien als wichtiger Portfolio-Stabilisator - IMMOBILIEN Business<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Die Inflation in der Schweiz lag im Februar 2024 bei 1,2%. 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